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Red348
4557184.7
1114226.9
67207.1
Blue405
3620174.1
1756192.3
4237175.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions418342100200300500600700348405

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
#10
226.90.1
226.9226.9
Auto23.7
Teleop172.4
End30.3
red by 34.7
192.30.2
191.6191.8
Auto24.6
Teleop139.2
End31.5
Second
67
#1
207.10.1
207.0207.1
Auto21.9
Teleop144.1
End38.7
red by 31.2
4237
#23
175.90.3
174.9175.2
Auto21.6
Teleop141.2
End14.4
Third
4557
#43
184.70.3
185.0184.7
Auto21.5
Teleop136.0
End24.1
red by 10.6
3620
#16
174.10.3
173.1173.4
Auto22.2
Teleop130.4
End24.6