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Red276
1325208.4
694209.3
2016150.0
Blue438
4541169.2
868200.4
4003209.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions367365250300350400450500276438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#8
209.30.1
209.1209.2
Auto24.8
Teleop159.5
End24.5
red by 0.3
209.00.0
208.8208.8
Auto22.2
Teleop161.7
End27.8
Second
208.40.0
208.6208.5
Auto23.9
Teleop156.3
End27.7
red by 8.0
868
#3
200.40.1
200.0200.1
Auto25.1
Teleop145.7
End30.4
Third
2016
#32
150.00.3
149.4149.8
Auto23.2
Teleop115.3
End9.0
blue by 19.2
4541
#28
169.20.0
169.2169.2
Auto20.5
Teleop132.8
End17.7