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Semifinal 2-22018 Archimedes Division
Red340
1325208.4
694209.3
2016150.0
Blue398
4541169.2
868200.4
4003209.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35437602006008001,0001,2001,400340398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#8
209.30.0
209.2→209.3
Auto24.8
Teleop159.5
End24.5
red by 0.3
4003
#4
209.00.0
208.8→208.8
Auto22.2
Teleop161.7
End27.8
Second
1325
#2
208.40.1
208.5→208.4
Auto23.9
Teleop156.3
End27.7
red by 8.0
868
#3
200.40.1
200.1→200.2
Auto25.1
Teleop145.7
End30.4
Third
2016
#32
150.00.3
149.8→150.0
Auto23.2
Teleop115.3
End9.0
blue by 19.2
4541
#28
169.20.0
169.2→169.2
Auto20.5
Teleop132.8
End17.7