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Red160
4523136.1
7066104.9
6055146.0
Blue317
4209127.3
3937165.0
1912109.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2563080100200400500600700160317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
146.015.5
78.994.4
Auto20.4
Teleop105.2
End23.0
blue by 19.1
165.012.3
108.5120.9
Auto21.7
Teleop124.3
End19.6
Second
4523
#36
136.116.2
73.189.2
Auto16.4
Teleop98.7
End22.3
red by 8.8
4209
#17
127.317.4
62.379.7
Auto17.0
Teleop99.2
End7.9
Third
7066
#47
104.927.1
104.977.7
Auto16.6
Teleop78.4
End12.2
blue by 4.8
1912
#39
109.715.5
79.494.9
Auto16.1
Teleop85.6
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed