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Red334
3937165.0
5550138.1
7123113.5
Blue127
2395124.2
2080129.1
6855112.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3062340100200400500600334127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.08.9
120.9129.8
Auto21.7
Teleop124.3
End19.6
red by 35.9
2080
#25
129.112.3
92.5104.8
Auto16.6
Teleop95.1
End17.4
Second
5550
#12
138.112.7
87.099.8
Auto16.8
Teleop106.1
End18.4
red by 13.9
2395
#32
124.26.8
93.6100.3
Auto17.1
Teleop89.8
End18.0
Third
7123
#44
113.510.3
77.788.1
Auto12.5
Teleop90.2
End11.0
red by 1.3
6855
#23
112.28.1
77.785.9
Auto14.8
Teleop83.7
End13.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed