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Red368
3039138.7
1209109.5
2992150.4
Blue55
6586107.5
6640128.2
707590.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318209010040050060036855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
150.411.6
101.0112.6
Auto15.8
Teleop119.1
End12.6
red by 22.3
6640
#31
128.211.0
95.1106.1
Auto14.8
Teleop94.9
End17.9
Second
3039
#13
138.75.1
112.7117.8
Auto19.4
Teleop103.7
End14.1
red by 31.2
6586
#33
107.511.3
68.279.5
Auto14.6
Teleop84.2
End11.2
Third
1209
#30
109.59.8
89.198.9
Auto15.6
Teleop87.9
End1.9
red by 19.2
7075
#54
90.48.4
77.786.2
Auto12.8
Teleop70.0
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed