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Qual 182018 Arkansas Rock City Regional
Red216
5454125.4
6474148.4
5006140.4
Blue239
5721109.0
3337120.1
3616149.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273271200250300350216239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6474
#16
148.412.5
92.9→105.4
Auto17.5
Teleop114.9
End18.2
blue by 0.8
3616
#8
149.211.4
104.3→115.6
Auto18.5
Teleop117.5
End17.6
Second
5006
#11
140.48.0
96.4→104.4
Auto17.0
Teleop102.7
End23.8
red by 20.3
3337
#20
120.19.8
83.9→93.7
Auto16.0
Teleop92.6
End13.7
Third
5454
#22
125.410.4
83.9→94.3
Auto20.0
Teleop90.2
End17.4
red by 16.4
5721
#29
109.010.7
80.3→91.0
Auto19.4
Teleop81.5
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed