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Red252
701153.2
3991130.8
5178105.3
Blue428
7106110.8
6647142.9
3937165.0
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2723110100200400500600252428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
701
#7Sur
153.25.2
125.3130.5
Auto26.0
Teleop113.8
End13.6
blue by 11.8
165.07.3
129.8137.1
Auto21.7
Teleop124.3
End19.6
Second
3991
#24
130.88.9
106.0114.9
Auto16.9
Teleop100.8
End13.0
blue by 12.1
6647
#41
142.90.4
135.4135.8
Auto18.4
Teleop108.0
End16.9
Third
5178
#40
105.35.9
89.094.9
Auto15.5
Teleop83.6
End10.1
blue by 5.5
7106
#42Sur
110.87.4
88.896.2
Auto15.2
Teleop84.9
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed