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Red475
2183136.0
5721109.0
6840106.8
Blue278
6855112.2
6640128.2
5568110.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions227264100200300400500475278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2183
#18
136.05.9
116.5122.4
Auto16.5
Teleop103.7
End16.2
red by 7.8
6640
#31
128.23.8
114.3118.1
Auto14.8
Teleop94.9
End17.9
Second
5721
#29
109.00.3
101.6101.3
Auto19.4
Teleop81.5
End10.1
blue by 3.2
6855
#23
112.22.2
95.797.9
Auto14.8
Teleop83.7
End13.9
Third
6840
#51
106.80.6
92.793.4
Auto14.4
Teleop77.4
End14.6
blue by 3.7
5568
#35
110.50.5
108.1107.6
Auto12.7
Teleop91.3
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsEarned14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed