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Qual 512018 Arkansas Rock City Regional
Red311
34127.5
31108.0
1764132.5
Blue177
277394.9
5568110.5
5454125.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296220100400500311177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1764
#14
132.54.3
113.0→117.3
Auto18.7
Teleop101.3
End12.1
red by 7.1
5454
#22
125.43.9
111.5→115.3
Auto20.0
Teleop90.2
End17.4
Second
34
#38
127.51.5
123.9→125.4
Auto15.4
Teleop97.7
End11.0
red by 17.0
5568
#35
110.50.5
107.6→107.1
Auto12.7
Teleop91.3
End12.5
Third
31
#49
108.00.8
106.2→107.1
Auto14.6
Teleop89.4
End3.7
red by 13.1
2773
#55
94.92.9
105.3→102.5
Auto13.4
Teleop77.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed