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Red232
4005109.6
7260110.6
6647142.9
Blue266
1912109.7
2080129.1
4576109.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303251100200400500232266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6647
#41
142.91.5
137.5138.9
Auto18.4
Teleop108.0
End16.9
red by 13.7
2080
#25
129.12.6
116.7119.3
Auto16.6
Teleop95.1
End17.4
Second
7260
#37
110.61.3
105.5104.2
Auto16.3
Teleop80.2
End16.5
red by 0.9
1912
#39
109.70.2
111.9112.1
Auto16.1
Teleop85.6
End9.4
Third
4005
#52
109.60.4
107.0106.6
Auto13.1
Teleop84.5
End9.6
red by 0.2
4576
#45
109.42.4
102.199.7
Auto13.5
Teleop85.1
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed