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Red178
1912109.7
31108.0
1700102.5
Blue227
6131116.1
4403113.8
6586107.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions260256150200300350178227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1912
#39
109.71.2
112.1113.4
Auto16.1
Teleop85.6
End9.4
blue by 6.5
6131
#27
116.13.0
121.8118.8
Auto18.0
Teleop89.2
End11.6
Second
31
#49
108.01.9
107.1109.0
Auto14.6
Teleop89.4
End3.7
blue by 5.8
4403
#21
113.81.0
111.5112.5
Auto13.7
Teleop92.8
End7.0
Third
1700
#53
102.50.9
106.6107.5
Auto14.8
Teleop79.6
End6.1
blue by 5.1
6586
#33
107.53.8
95.499.2
Auto14.6
Teleop84.2
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed