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Red431
3310195.2
5178105.3
3616149.2
Blue155
5002110.2
6840106.8
7066104.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3741750100300500600431155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195.26.2
174.0180.2
Auto26.7
Teleop141.2
End26.4
red by 85.0
5002
#34
110.20.8
109.0108.2
Auto15.6
Teleop83.1
End15.8
Second
149.23.3
129.7133.0
Auto18.5
Teleop117.5
End17.6
red by 42.5
6840
#51
106.83.9
98.0101.9
Auto14.4
Teleop77.4
End14.6
Third
5178
#40
105.31.3
99.197.7
Auto15.5
Teleop83.6
End10.1
red by 0.4
7066
#47
104.92.2
97.499.6
Auto16.6
Teleop78.4
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed