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Red295
277394.9
4400135.8
7123113.5
Blue332
5437137.5
6586107.5
1912109.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions241298100200400500295332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4400
#43
135.80.0
134.8134.8
Auto14.6
Teleop102.6
End17.8
blue by 1.7
5437
#15
137.52.0
134.5136.5
Auto16.9
Teleop102.3
End20.7
Second
7123
#44
113.51.5
108.3109.9
Auto12.5
Teleop90.2
End11.0
red by 3.9
1912
#39
109.71.7
111.4109.7
Auto16.1
Teleop85.6
End9.4
Third
2773
#55
94.91.0
95.994.9
Auto13.4
Teleop77.3
End2.8
blue by 12.6
6586
#33
107.52.3
105.2107.5
Auto14.6
Teleop84.2
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed