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Red369
5550138.1
4635148.3
1209109.5
Blue264
5002110.2
3160111.6
5178105.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3471910100300400500600369264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148.30.8
140.0140.9
Auto26.5
Teleop113.4
End12.1
red by 36.6
3160
#48
111.61.4
111.1109.7
Auto16.7
Teleop81.3
End17.1
Second
5550
#12
138.13.7
125.5129.2
Auto16.8
Teleop106.1
End18.4
red by 27.9
5002
#34
110.20.6
108.2107.6
Auto15.6
Teleop83.1
End15.8
Third
1209
#30
109.50.1
108.9108.8
Auto15.6
Teleop87.9
End1.9
red by 4.3
5178
#40
105.31.9
97.799.6
Auto15.5
Teleop83.6
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed