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Red227
31108.0
6131116.1
4523136.1
Blue409
6055146.0
3039138.7
5178105.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276328100200300400500227409

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4523
#36
136.12.9
130.4133.2
Auto16.4
Teleop98.7
End22.3
blue by 9.8
146.05.4
129.2134.6
Auto20.4
Teleop105.2
End23.0
Second
6131
#27
116.10.3
117.3117.1
Auto18.0
Teleop89.2
End11.6
blue by 22.6
3039
#13
138.72.8
132.0134.8
Auto19.4
Teleop103.7
End14.1
Third
31
#49
108.00.4
109.4109.1
Auto14.6
Teleop89.4
End3.7
red by 2.7
5178
#40
105.32.5
99.6102.2
Auto15.5
Teleop83.6
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed