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Red321
701153.2
5437137.5
7260110.6
Blue209
6840106.8
4209127.3
2992150.4
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299313150200250350400450500321209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
701
#7
153.22.9
147.1149.9
Auto26.0
Teleop113.8
End13.6
red by 2.8
150.40.8
150.6151.4
Auto15.8
Teleop119.1
End12.6
Second
5437
#15
137.52.5
132.0134.5
Auto16.9
Teleop102.3
End20.7
red by 10.1
4209
#17
127.32.2
125.1127.3
Auto17.0
Teleop99.2
End7.9
Third
7260
#37
110.61.7
108.9110.6
Auto16.3
Teleop80.2
End16.5
red by 3.9
6840
#51
106.81.3
105.5106.8
Auto14.4
Teleop77.4
End14.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed