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Qual 892018 Arkansas Rock City Regional
Red250
6855112.2
6647142.9
31108.0
Blue359
1700102.5
3616149.2
4635148.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions248331100200300400500250359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6647
#41
142.90.3
142.3→142.6
Auto18.4
Teleop108.0
End16.9
blue by 6.3
3616
#8
149.23.5
141.3→144.8
Auto18.5
Teleop117.5
End17.6
Second
6855
#23
112.22.1
110.1→112.2
Auto14.8
Teleop83.7
End13.9
blue by 36.1
4635
#4
148.32.5
142.3→144.8
Auto26.5
Teleop113.4
End12.1
Third
31
#49
108.01.1
109.1→108.0
Auto14.6
Teleop89.4
End3.7
red by 5.5
1700
#53
102.53.0
105.5→102.5
Auto14.8
Teleop79.6
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed67%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed