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Red259
5002110.2
277394.9
7106110.8
Blue261
3337120.1
6131116.1
701153.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2103460100300400500600259261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7106
#42
110.80.3
111.1110.8
Auto15.2
Teleop84.9
End10.6
blue by 42.4
701
#7
153.22.3
149.9152.2
Auto26.0
Teleop113.8
End13.6
Second
5002
#34
110.21.7
108.4110.2
Auto15.6
Teleop83.1
End15.8
blue by 9.9
3337
#20
120.12.9
113.1116.0
Auto16.0
Teleop92.6
End13.7
Third
2773
#55
94.92.9
98.895.9
Auto13.4
Teleop77.3
End2.8
blue by 21.2
6131
#27
116.11.0
117.1116.1
Auto18.0
Teleop89.2
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed59%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed