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Red394
5437152.1
5568110.5
4635189.4
Blue166
3937186.4
5045139.1
6640128.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340335200250300400394166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#11
189.40.0
189.4189.4
Auto29.4
Teleop141.9
End16.7
red by 3.0
186.40.0
186.4186.4
Auto22.3
Teleop139.7
End22.3
Second
152.10.0
152.1152.1
Auto19.4
Teleop111.2
End22.4
red by 13.0
139.10.0
139.1139.1
Auto22.6
Teleop102.3
End16.5
Third
5568
#13
110.50.0
110.5110.5
Auto12.7
Teleop91.3
End12.5
blue by 17.7
6640
#15
128.20.0
128.2128.2
Auto14.8
Teleop94.9
End17.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest odds74%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss odds5%Face the Boss odds