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Red125
4356128.2
5454125.4
5729118.5
Blue298
5568110.5
6640128.2
5006158.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2593460200400600800125298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4356
#12
128.20.0
128.2128.2
Auto19.2
Teleop97.5
End11.1
blue by 30.3
158.40.0
158.4158.4
Auto19.0
Teleop109.8
End27.7
Second
125.40.0
125.4125.4
Auto20.0
Teleop90.2
End17.4
blue by 2.7
6640
#15
128.20.0
128.2128.2
Auto14.8
Teleop94.9
End17.9
Third
5729
#18
118.50.0
118.5118.5
Auto16.0
Teleop93.9
End12.2
red by 8.0
5568
#13
110.50.0
110.5110.5
Auto12.7
Teleop91.3
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest odds26%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds5%Face the Boss odds