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Red236
4635189.4
4356128.2
6640128.2
Blue473
323147.7
16206.0
6055171.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2584340100200300500600700800236473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#11
189.40.0
189.4189.4
Auto29.4
Teleop141.9
End16.7
blue by 16.6
16
#1
206.00.0
206.0206.0
Auto25.6
Teleop149.0
End29.3
Second
4356
#12
128.20.0
128.2128.2
Auto19.2
Teleop97.5
End11.1
blue by 43.1
171.20.0
171.2171.2
Auto25.1
Teleop117.1
End30.8
Third
6640
#15
128.20.0
128.2128.2
Auto14.8
Teleop94.9
End17.9
blue by 19.6
323
#2
147.70.0
147.7147.7
Auto21.7
Teleop110.2
End17.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest odds99%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss odds18%Face the Boss odds