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Quarterfinal 2-22018 Duel Down Under
Red389
5985B94.7
4613B105.1
6510155.7
Blue333
6050113.2
5331144.8
6579181.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions329324200250300350400450389333

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6510
Unranked
155.70.0
155.7→155.7
Auto24.8
Teleop114.8
End16.7
blue by 25.9
6579
Unranked
181.60.0
181.6→181.6
Auto20.9
Teleop135.4
End27.2
Second
4613B
Unranked
105.10.0
105.1→105.1
Auto12.4
Teleop78.0
End14.0
blue by 39.8
5331
Unranked
144.80.0
144.8→144.8
Auto19.7
Teleop108.2
End18.1
Third
5985B
Unranked
94.70.0
94.7→94.7
Auto12.6
Teleop73.1
End7.9
blue by 18.5
6050
Unranked
113.20.0
113.2→113.2
Auto17.7
Teleop77.9
End18.7