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Red193
783860.1
4613B105.1
6525119.4
Blue257
5584184.2
6836138.5
7278132.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2343860100200300500600700193257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6525
Unranked
119.40.0
119.4119.4
Auto15.5
Teleop90.3
End10.4
blue by 64.8
5584
Unranked
184.20.0
184.2184.2
Auto24.4
Teleop128.4
End31.3
Second
4613B
Unranked
105.10.0
105.1105.1
Auto12.4
Teleop78.0
End14.0
blue by 33.5
6836
Unranked
138.50.0
138.5138.5
Auto21.0
Teleop101.1
End18.7
Third
7838
Unranked
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
blue by 71.9
7278
Unranked
132.00.0
132.0132.0
Auto18.4
Teleop99.4
End14.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest odds91%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss odds13%Face the Boss odds