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Red133
4801104.7
5988B60.1
4802B55.0
Blue378
6579B90.8
3132B73.2
7023123.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1923300100400500600700800133378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4801
Unranked
104.70.0
104.7104.7
Auto13.4
Teleop82.4
End7.7
blue by 18.2
7023
Unranked
123.00.0
123.0123.0
Auto14.5
Teleop98.6
End11.9
Second
5988B
Unranked
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto7.8
Teleop45.3
End7.4
blue by 30.7
6579B
Unranked
90.80.0
90.890.8
Auto10.4
Teleop67.7
End13.6
Third
4802B
Unranked
55.00.0
55.055.0
Auto7.9
Teleop41.4
End4.7
blue by 18.2
3132B
Unranked
73.20.0
73.273.2
Auto9.4
Teleop47.0
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest odds27%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss odds13%Face the Boss odds