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Red299
3132146.4
5331144.8
6525119.4
Blue319
6434134.1
6434B67.1
6050113.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308305200250350400450299319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3132
Unranked
146.40.0
146.4146.4
Auto18.7
Teleop94.0
End30.7
red by 12.3
6434
Unranked
134.10.0
134.1134.1
Auto16.8
Teleop107.8
End12.4
Second
5331
Unranked
144.80.0
144.8144.8
Auto19.7
Teleop108.2
End18.1
red by 31.6
6050
Unranked
113.20.0
113.2113.2
Auto17.7
Teleop77.9
End18.7
Third
6525
Unranked
119.40.0
119.4119.4
Auto15.5
Teleop90.3
End10.4
red by 52.3
6434B
Unranked
67.10.0
67.167.1
Auto8.4
Teleop53.9
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest odds65%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss odds5%Face the Boss odds