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Red174
5876101.1
7023123.0
4729126.9
Blue289
6050113.2
4802110.0
5584B92.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294291200250350174289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4729
Unranked
126.90.0
126.9126.9
Auto16.1
Teleop91.2
End26.7
red by 13.6
6050
Unranked
113.20.0
113.2113.2
Auto17.7
Teleop77.9
End18.7
Second
7023
Unranked
123.00.0
123.0123.0
Auto14.5
Teleop98.6
End11.9
red by 13.0
4802
Unranked
110.00.0
110.0110.0
Auto15.9
Teleop82.7
End9.4
Third
5876
Unranked
101.10.0
101.1101.1
Auto15.7
Teleop79.4
End9.1
red by 9.0
5584B
Unranked
92.10.0
92.192.1
Auto12.2
Teleop64.2
End15.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest odds62%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss odds8%Face the Boss odds