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Red60
3132B73.2
6579181.6
4537132.8
Blue426
4613210.1
4774136.3
4613B105.1
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252401010020030050060070060426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6579
Unranked
181.60.0
181.6181.6
Auto20.9
Teleop135.4
End27.2
blue by 28.5
4613
Unranked
210.10.0
210.1210.1
Auto24.7
Teleop156.0
End27.9
Second
4537
Unranked
132.80.0
132.8132.8
Auto18.7
Teleop96.2
End17.9
blue by 3.5
4774
Unranked
136.30.0
136.3136.3
Auto18.0
Teleop105.9
End11.5
Third
3132B
Unranked
73.20.0
73.273.2
Auto9.4
Teleop47.0
End15.4
blue by 31.8
4613B
Unranked
105.10.0
105.1105.1
Auto12.4
Teleop78.0
End14.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest odds68%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss odds13%Face the Boss odds