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Red187
6836138.5
4537132.8
6525119.4
Blue296
6476124.8
6575115.6
6579181.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2783550100200400500600700800187296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6836
Unranked
138.50.0
138.5138.5
Auto21.0
Teleop101.1
End18.7
blue by 43.1
6579
Unranked
181.60.0
181.6181.6
Auto20.9
Teleop135.4
End27.2
Second
4537
Unranked
132.80.0
132.8132.8
Auto18.7
Teleop96.2
End17.9
red by 8.0
6476
Unranked
124.80.0
124.8124.8
Auto16.9
Teleop92.0
End20.5
Third
6525
Unranked
119.40.0
119.4119.4
Auto15.5
Teleop90.3
End10.4
red by 3.8
6575
Unranked
115.60.0
115.6115.6
Auto16.1
Teleop88.8
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest odds70%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss odds4%Face the Boss odds