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Red402
5876B50.5
5985B94.7
6434B67.1
Blue266
4729126.9
4801104.7
6836138.5
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25330404006008001,0001,200402266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5985B
Unranked
94.70.0
94.794.7
Auto12.6
Teleop73.1
End7.9
blue by 43.8
6836
Unranked
138.50.0
138.5138.5
Auto21.0
Teleop101.1
End18.7
Second
6434B
Unranked
67.10.0
67.167.1
Auto8.4
Teleop53.9
End6.2
blue by 59.8
4729
Unranked
126.90.0
126.9126.9
Auto16.1
Teleop91.2
End26.7
Third
5876B
Unranked
50.50.0
50.550.5
Auto7.8
Teleop39.7
End4.5
blue by 54.2
4801
Unranked
104.70.0
104.7104.7
Auto13.4
Teleop82.4
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest odds40%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss odds5%Face the Boss odds