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Red427
6575115.6
5985B94.7
3132B73.2
Blue219
4802B55.0
3132146.4
6579B90.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295279150200250350400450427219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6575
Unranked
115.60.0
115.6115.6
Auto16.1
Teleop88.8
End9.9
blue by 30.8
3132
Unranked
146.40.0
146.4146.4
Auto18.7
Teleop94.0
End30.7
Second
5985B
Unranked
94.70.0
94.794.7
Auto12.6
Teleop73.1
End7.9
red by 3.9
6579B
Unranked
90.80.0
90.890.8
Auto10.4
Teleop67.7
End13.6
Third
3132B
Unranked
73.20.0
73.273.2
Auto9.4
Teleop47.0
End15.4
red by 18.2
4802B
Unranked
55.00.0
55.055.0
Auto7.9
Teleop41.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest odds56%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss odds28%Face the Boss odds