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Red285
5876101.1
6579B90.8
783860.1
Blue291
6579181.6
5988120.2
6510155.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2153990100300500600285291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5876
Unranked
101.10.0
101.1101.1
Auto15.7
Teleop79.4
End9.1
blue by 80.5
6579
Unranked
181.60.0
181.6181.6
Auto20.9
Teleop135.4
End27.2
Second
6579B
Unranked
90.80.0
90.890.8
Auto10.4
Teleop67.7
End13.6
blue by 64.9
6510
Unranked
155.70.0
155.7155.7
Auto24.8
Teleop114.8
End16.7
Third
7838
Unranked
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
blue by 60.1
5988
Unranked
120.20.0
120.2120.2
Auto15.6
Teleop90.6
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest odds94%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss odds6%Face the Boss odds