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Red371
7023123.0
6434135.6
4613196.2
Blue102
4537132.8
481787.2
6998114.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3062570100200400500371102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.212.5
106.6119.2
Auto27.4
Teleop139.3
End30.0
red by 63.4
4537
#12
132.815.1
83.198.2
Auto18.7
Teleop96.2
End17.9
Second
6434
#10
135.615.2
81.496.7
Auto16.5
Teleop105.1
End11.3
red by 21.1
114.636.8
114.677.7
Auto15.6
Teleop87.6
End13.4
Third
7023
#22
123.045.2
123.077.7
Auto14.5
Teleop98.6
End11.9
red by 35.7
4817
#28
87.216.6
69.085.6
Auto13.9
Teleop69.4
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed