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Red245
6508160.6
481787.2
5593126.7
Blue266
5983107.3
6083120.0
6836138.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305274100200400500245266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.66.4
139.1145.5
Auto19.1
Teleop115.7
End28.5
red by 22.1
138.54.9
117.0122.0
Auto21.0
Teleop101.1
End18.7
Second
5593
#13
126.73.3
115.4118.7
Auto18.4
Teleop98.0
End10.0
red by 6.7
6083
#16
120.03.1
99.7102.8
Auto14.6
Teleop91.5
End16.0
Third
4817
#28
87.20.6
99.498.8
Auto13.9
Teleop69.4
End4.4
blue by 20.1
5983
#14
107.31.5
105.9107.3
Auto15.5
Teleop86.1
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsEarned17%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed