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Qual 402018 Southern Cross Regional
Red504
6579160.6
5985159.4
6118111.1
Blue162
6836138.5
4739100.4
7130107.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333248100200300400500504162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6579
#3
160.60.4
150.1→149.8
Auto19.6
Teleop118.8
End26.7
red by 22.1
6836
#5
138.52.2
126.0→128.2
Auto21.0
Teleop101.1
End18.7
Second
5985
#4
159.41.7
149.1→147.4
Auto22.7
Teleop118.5
End19.2
red by 51.8
7130
#29
107.61.0
111.9→112.9
Auto16.6
Teleop81.1
End9.0
Third
6118
#24
111.10.6
112.1→111.5
Auto15.1
Teleop86.7
End5.9
red by 10.7
4739
#19
100.40.1
102.1→102.0
Auto15.7
Teleop77.0
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed