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Red101
481787.2
3008140.7
4802115.9
Blue449
6836138.5
6083120.0
4253193.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242362100200300400500101449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3008
#20
140.74.1
135.6139.7
Auto17.6
Teleop104.9
End19.0
blue by 52.6
193.31.6
176.8178.4
Auto29.1
Teleop137.4
End29.4
Second
4802
#17
115.91.1
120.3121.5
Auto13.1
Teleop86.2
End15.8
blue by 22.7
138.51.1
128.2129.3
Auto21.0
Teleop101.1
End18.7
Third
4817
#28
87.20.9
95.394.4
Auto13.9
Teleop69.4
End4.4
blue by 32.7
6083
#16
120.01.3
108.0109.3
Auto14.6
Teleop91.5
End16.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed