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Red319
5331125.6
5983107.3
7074136.7
Blue265
6024138.8
6579160.6
6191110.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2383540100200300400500600319265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
136.70.9
131.0131.9
Auto16.6
Teleop107.2
End9.5
blue by 23.9
160.62.0
151.6153.5
Auto19.6
Teleop118.8
End26.7
Second
5331
#21
125.60.1
123.3123.2
Auto17.2
Teleop95.8
End12.7
blue by 13.2
6024
#11
138.81.2
138.0139.3
Auto17.1
Teleop105.3
End18.2
Third
5983
#14
107.31.0
108.5107.5
Auto15.5
Teleop86.1
End5.8
blue by 3.3
6191
#18
110.61.6
104.7106.3
Auto12.7
Teleop88.3
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsMissed42%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed