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Red362
5985159.4
6191110.6
5331125.6
Blue299
6204112.6
4613196.2
6118111.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286337100200400500600700362299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.42.7
152.1154.9
Auto22.7
Teleop118.5
End19.2
blue by 36.8
196.22.7
192.7195.4
Auto27.4
Teleop139.3
End30.0
Second
5331
#21
125.60.5
124.3124.8
Auto17.2
Teleop95.8
End12.7
red by 12.9
6204
#27
112.60.9
115.3114.4
Auto15.0
Teleop88.1
End6.6
Third
6191
#18
110.61.3
106.8108.1
Auto12.7
Teleop88.3
End11.2
blue by 0.5
6118
#24
111.10.7
113.5112.8
Auto15.1
Teleop86.7
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsMissed46%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed