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Red294
6434135.6
4537132.8
7074136.7
Blue106
4802115.9
7130107.6
7278132.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3532390100200300400500600294106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
136.71.5
133.8135.3
Auto16.6
Teleop107.2
End9.5
red by 4.7
132.01.3
130.3131.6
Auto18.4
Teleop99.4
End14.0
Second
6434
#10
135.60.0
136.4136.4
Auto16.5
Teleop105.1
End11.3
red by 19.8
4802
#17
115.90.3
118.7118.4
Auto13.1
Teleop86.2
End15.8
Third
4537
#12
132.81.1
131.0132.1
Auto18.7
Teleop96.2
End17.9
red by 25.1
7130
#29
107.61.4
111.8110.4
Auto16.6
Teleop81.1
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed