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Red219
6118111.1
7130107.6
6434135.6
Blue389
6520120.6
6579160.6
4537132.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2323550100200300400500600219389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6434
#10
135.60.6
136.4135.9
Auto16.5
Teleop105.1
End11.3
blue by 25.0
160.62.0
155.6157.6
Auto19.6
Teleop118.8
End26.7
Second
6118
#24
111.11.7
112.8111.1
Auto15.1
Teleop86.7
End5.9
blue by 21.7
4537
#12
132.80.2
132.1132.3
Auto18.7
Teleop96.2
End17.9
Third
7130
#29
107.61.5
110.4108.9
Auto16.6
Teleop81.1
End9.0
blue by 13.0
6520
#25
120.60.7
121.4120.6
Auto15.9
Teleop94.2
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsEarned46%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed