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Red357
6836138.5
6191110.6
5593126.7
Blue296
7278132.0
6996106.8
6204112.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313252100200400500357296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138.51.9
134.9136.8
Auto21.0
Teleop101.1
End18.7
red by 6.5
132.00.3
131.6131.8
Auto18.4
Teleop99.4
End14.0
Second
5593
#13
126.70.6
127.3126.7
Auto18.4
Teleop98.0
End10.0
red by 14.1
6204
#27
112.61.8
114.4112.6
Auto15.0
Teleop88.1
End6.6
Third
6191
#18
110.61.0
108.1109.1
Auto12.7
Teleop88.3
End11.2
red by 3.7
6996
#15
106.81.0
102.0103.0
Auto14.2
Teleop88.8
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed