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Red376
6579160.6
6508160.6
6998114.6
Blue245
5593126.7
5331125.6
4537132.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3192590100200400500600376245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.68.0
111.2119.3
Auto19.1
Teleop115.7
End28.5
red by 27.9
4537
#12
132.87.2
98.2105.4
Auto18.7
Teleop96.2
End17.9
Second
160.610.9
118.9129.8
Auto19.6
Teleop118.8
End26.7
red by 33.9
5593
#13
126.79.6
92.6102.2
Auto18.4
Teleop98.0
End10.0
Third
114.69.0
77.786.7
Auto15.6
Teleop87.6
End13.4
blue by 11.0
5331
#21
125.68.1
97.4105.6
Auto17.2
Teleop95.8
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed