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Red469
4613196.2
4253193.3
4802115.9
Blue167
3008140.7
7074136.7
6191110.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4292110100300500600700469167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.20.0
195.9195.9
Auto27.4
Teleop139.3
End30.0
red by 55.5
3008
#20
140.70.3
140.2140.5
Auto17.6
Teleop104.9
End19.0
Second
193.30.8
190.1190.9
Auto29.1
Teleop137.4
End29.4
red by 56.6
136.70.2
136.3136.5
Auto16.6
Teleop107.2
End9.5
Third
4802
#17
115.90.3
116.9116.5
Auto13.1
Teleop86.2
End15.8
red by 5.3
6191
#18
110.60.4
109.8110.2
Auto12.7
Teleop88.3
End11.2