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Red227
4613205.2
5584178.6
6050114.5
Blue397
5663159.5
5985186.2
712899.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383294100200500600227397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
205.20.1
205.1205.2
Auto25.2
Teleop148.5
End29.1
red by 19.0
186.20.8
185.4186.2
Auto24.9
Teleop140.8
End21.6
Second
178.60.7
177.8178.6
Auto24.8
Teleop122.2
End33.1
red by 19.1
159.50.9
158.6159.5
Auto20.5
Teleop125.1
End15.4
Third
6050
#20
114.50.2
114.3114.5
Auto16.8
Teleop79.5
End16.6
red by 14.9
7128
#35
99.60.3
99.899.6
Auto15.3
Teleop75.9
End7.1