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Quarterfinal 3-22018 South Pacific Regional
Red374
5663159.5
5985186.2
712899.6
Blue212
4774136.3
6434134.1
5333121.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions357262100200300400500600374212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5985
#2
186.21.0
181.8→182.8
Auto24.9
Teleop140.8
End21.6
red by 49.9
4774
#13
136.30.4
135.9→136.3
Auto18.0
Teleop105.9
End11.5
Second
5663
#5
159.51.0
154.7→155.8
Auto20.5
Teleop125.1
End15.4
red by 25.3
6434
#12
134.10.4
133.7→134.1
Auto16.8
Teleop107.8
End12.4
Third
7128
#35
99.60.4
101.2→100.8
Auto15.3
Teleop75.9
End7.1
blue by 22.4
5333
#25
121.90.3
121.6→121.9
Auto13.3
Teleop98.9
End10.4