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Red168
6035116.8
5331144.8
5564111.4
Blue195
6813118.0
7163103.3
6050114.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253308100200400500168195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144.80.7
126.1126.8
Auto19.7
Teleop108.2
End18.1
red by 26.9
118.016.5
77.794.3
Auto16.7
Teleop89.7
End11.3
Second
6035
#15
116.89.7
81.290.9
Auto14.3
Teleop90.0
End15.5
red by 2.3
6050
#20
114.57.3
90.297.5
Auto16.8
Teleop79.5
End16.6
Third
5564
#29
111.410.2
75.986.1
Auto15.7
Teleop82.7
End12.9
red by 8.1
7163
#33
103.313.6
77.791.4
Auto15.4
Teleop74.9
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed