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Red107
711395.4
6524119.0
5333121.9
Blue434
7163103.3
5985186.2
6024147.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2153560100300400500107434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5333
#25
121.910.3
90.5100.7
Auto13.3
Teleop98.9
End10.4
blue by 64.3
186.22.1
162.9165.0
Auto24.9
Teleop140.8
End21.6
Second
6524
#11
119.09.9
93.0102.8
Auto16.2
Teleop91.4
End17.0
blue by 28.7
6024
#10
147.70.2
137.2137.4
Auto20.8
Teleop106.0
End20.4
Third
7113
#30
95.44.7
90.294.9
Auto14.2
Teleop73.7
End10.1
blue by 7.9
7163
#33
103.37.9
91.499.3
Auto15.4
Teleop74.9
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed