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Red324
7124103.7
6575115.6
6083133.8
Blue274
4729126.9
6007132.1
6050114.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266254150200300350400324274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6083
#18
133.80.7
121.5122.3
Auto14.5
Teleop102.0
End19.2
red by 1.7
6007
#39
132.15.3
98.7103.9
Auto17.5
Teleop96.1
End17.7
Second
6575
#17
115.65.2
83.288.5
Auto16.1
Teleop88.8
End9.9
blue by 11.2
4729
#19
126.95.9
94.9100.8
Auto16.1
Teleop91.2
End26.7
Third
7124
#37
103.78.4
86.294.6
Auto15.6
Teleop79.2
End14.0
blue by 10.8
6050
#20
114.50.0
101.3101.2
Auto16.8
Teleop79.5
End16.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed