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Qual 232018 South Pacific Regional
Red226
3132142.2
4614113.6
6509121.0
Blue199
4729126.9
6440107.1
7050101.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276271200220240260300320226199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3132
#9
142.21.3
127.6→128.9
Auto20.1
Teleop95.7
End31.4
red by 15.3
4729
#19
126.95.3
100.8→106.1
Auto16.1
Teleop91.2
End26.7
Second
6509
#28
121.04.6
99.1→103.8
Auto14.6
Teleop83.8
End26.3
red by 13.8
6440
#27
107.17.5
86.1→93.6
Auto16.8
Teleop83.8
End10.1
Third
4614
#36
113.62.8
102.2→105.0
Auto14.9
Teleop82.0
End16.3
red by 12.5
7050
#38
101.24.8
91.7→96.5
Auto14.9
Teleop82.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed