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Red194
6063103.7
6813118.0
5663159.5
Blue121
644990.3
6434134.1
5985186.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2223130100400500194121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.58.5
110.9119.4
Auto20.5
Teleop125.1
End15.4
blue by 26.8
186.22.2
165.0167.2
Auto24.9
Teleop140.8
End21.6
Second
118.03.6
104.1107.7
Auto16.7
Teleop89.7
End11.3
blue by 16.1
6434
#12
134.10.5
133.3132.8
Auto16.8
Teleop107.8
End12.4
Third
6063
#16
103.73.5
99.3102.9
Auto17.0
Teleop75.3
End10.9
red by 13.4
6449
#26
90.31.8
88.690.4
Auto13.3
Teleop70.5
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsEarned44%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed